Zero Gravitas wrote:0.5% increases above inflation for the foreseeable future (say 3 years!).
About there, but let's remember that the hump we (the EP, and therefore the whole defence budget) will have to get over is the SSBN replacement... curiously more parties than ever fell in line with this, in their manifestos... and only a half bn of the 10
has been used up. The contingency is there, and the crowding out of other categories would ease.
Zero Gravitas wrote:in 2029 - but as a rule of thumb, any GDP prediction that starts with a zero is within the margin of error!
The margin of error for a snapshot (like a poll) is easier to estimate - I mean rigorously
- than a net-net-net projection to ten years out
Zero Gravitas wrote:the simple fact is that the UK can now borrow extremely cheaply.
The operative word being now... this one is 50 years out. Of course, if the market will swallow instruments to lock the rate that far out; I have been asking around for a perpetual, interest-only mortgage, but so far no luck
Zero Gravitas wrote:senior civil service massively dis-empowered - a revolution in the way we are governed not seen in anyone's lifetime
Sounds like what we did to our schools: do away with the central bodies, let the acting management bring in their buddies as the 'board' to control mgt - and without a central body, you can't even fight back against funding cuts
Zero Gravitas wrote:all preceding barriers to change are defenestrated
I know the windows in White Hall tend to be big, but...?
Zero Gravitas wrote:Actually I should shut up
Absolutely not, as it would be v good for the forum to be looking at other factors than just 'kit'
dmereifield wrote:he FSS order increased to 3 and certainly built kn the UK. We may also see an increase in the numbers of T31 ordered and additional funding for flagship programmes such as Tempest.
Agree with the ship-building emphasis; so we will be getting batches of T31s where the chase for the [very expensive] multi-function perfection will have been dropped, and it is mainly the fitting out that determines the specialism?
- weaponising the PM to bring Japan onboard with Tempest might be worth many times more than all the money so far committed
Ever-lasting truths: Multi-year budgets/ planning by necessity have to address the painful questions; more often than not the Either-Or prevails over Both-And.
If everyone is thinking the same, then someone is not thinking (attributed to Patton)